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  3. The rate of deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon has plummeted by 77% in the past seven years, but annual carbon emissions asso

The rate of deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon has plummeted by 77% in the past seven years, but annual carbon emissions asso

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问题     The rate of deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon has plummeted by 77% in the past seven years, but annual carbon emissions associated with deforestation have not fallen nearly as much, says a Brazilian study that combines satellite data and biomass maps to model the change.【F1】The difference is in large part due to a natural lag as carbon stocks slowly decay and make their way into the atmosphere as carbon dioxide.
    Brazil has long had a sophisticated satellite-based system for monitoring deforestation, but translating forest clearance into emissions has remained a challenge. The picture is more complex than often assumed. The area cleared each year decreased from 27 ,772 square kilometers in 2004 to 6,418 square kilometres in 2011. A direct conversion of that lost biomass into carbon would suggest a drop in annual carbon dioxide emissions from more than 1. 1 billion tonnes of CO2 in 2004 to 298 million tonnes of CO2—a reduction of nearly 74% .
    【F2】But numbers calculated by Brazil’s National Institute for Space Research(INPE)in Sao Jose dos Campos using the new model, and released on 13 August, suggest a reduction of only 57% in actual emissions. The difference dues to factors such as the time it takes for roots to decay, and the fact that forest debris cut in one year might be burned in another. A paper describing the model was published last week.
    【F3】" We don’t know how the government is going to use this information at this point, but what we are trying to express is that this is a more correct way to understand carbon emissions," says Jean Ometto, a researcher at INPE who helped to develop the system. He estimates that efforts to forestall deforestation in the Amazon have lowered Brazil’s overall carbon emissions by roughly 17% since 2004.
    The model is a milepost for scientists and policy-makers working at the intersection of forestry, agriculture and global warming.【F4】Many scientists are busy linking satellite measurements to field and aerial studies to create more accurate maps of forest biomass, which can then be used to calculate emissions. INPE’s new model carries that work forward, allowing Brazilian scientists to provide annual estimates of both deforestation and carbon emissions, and setting the stage for a deeper analysis of the impacts of logging, agriculture and forest regrowth.
    Richard Houghton, a forestry expert at the Woods Hole Research Center in Falmouth, Massachusetts , says that the actual results are not necessarily surprising.【F5】But he credits INPE with developing a solid emissions model that will help Brazil build on its forest-monitoring system and tackle emissions in a serious way. "That’s where you’d like the rest of the world to be, where Brazil is. "
【F2】
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答案但是，位于圣若泽杜斯坎普斯的巴西国家空间研究院借助这一新模式在8月13日发布的计算数据表明，实际排放缩减仅为57％。
解析 这是一个复合句。主语为numbers，谓语是suggest，宾语是a reduction。其中calculated by…，and released on 13 August作后置定语，修饰numbers。
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