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  3. A scientist who does research in economic psychology and who wants to predict the way in which consumers will spend their money

A scientist who does research in economic psychology and who wants to predict the way in which consumers will spend their money

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问题     A scientist who does research in economic psychology and who wants to predict the way in which consumers will spend their money must study consumer behavior. He must obtain (1)_____ both on resources of consumers and on the motives that (2)_____ to encourage or discourage money spending.
    If an (3)_____ were asked which of three groups borrow most—people with rising incomes, (4)_____ incomes, or declining incomes—he would (5)_____ answer: those with declining incomes. Actually, in the years 1997—2000, the answer was: people with rising incomes. People with declining incomes were next and people with stable incomes borrowed the (6)_____. This shows us that traditional (7)_____ about earning and spending are not always (8)_____ Another traditional assumption is that if people who have money expect prices to go up, they will (9)_____ to buy. If they expect prices to go down, they will postpone buying. (10)_____ research surveys have shown that this is not always (11)_____ The expectations of price increases may not stimulate buying. One (12)_____ attitude was ex-pressed by the wife of a mechanic in an interview at a time of rising prices. Her family had been planning to buy a new car but they postponed this purchase. (13)_____, the rise in prices that has al-ready taken place may be resented and buyer’s resistance may be evoked.
    The (14)_____ mentioned above was carried out in America. Investigations (15)_____ at the same time in Great Britain, however, yielded results that were more (16)_____ traditional assumptions about saving and spending patterns. The condition most contributive to spending (17)_____ to be price stability. If prices have been stable and people consider that they are (18)_____, they are likely to buy. Thus, it appears that the common (19)_____ policy of maintaining stable prices is based on a correct understanding of (20)_____ psychology.

选项 A、especially
B、particularly
C、approximately
D、probably
答案D
解析 语义衔接题。本句大意为：如果一名经济学家被问及收入增加、收入稳定和收入减少这三种人中，哪种人借钱最多，他可能回答是那些收入减少者。probably意为"可能，大概"，表示一种比较确定的猜测，用在本句中符合句意。especially意为"尤其，特别地"，particularly意为"特别，尤其"，句中或句子上下文没有表示需要特别指明或强调某一方面的语境，因此这两个词放入句中不恰当；approximately意为"大约"，表示大概基本正确或精确的意思，文中表示的不是答案精确与否，只是表示存在某种可能性，故排除。
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考研英语一

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