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  3. Business is guarding against harder times. The biggest problem is the euro crisis, which is causing damage to Germany’s trading

Business is guarding against harder times. The biggest problem is the euro crisis, which is causing damage to Germany’s trading

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问题     Business is guarding against harder times. The biggest problem is the euro crisis, which is causing damage to Germany’s trading partners. Industrial orders from the euro zone sharply declined by 12. 1% in September. Demand will also be reduced from Asia and eastern Europe, which have been Germany’s fastest-growing markets. On November 9th the government’s advisory council of economic "wise men" predicted that growth would shrink from 3% this year to 0. 9% in 2012.
    Rising unemployment would jeopardise Mrs Merkel’s chances for re-election in September 2013. Perhaps for that reason, most economists are betting that Germany will eventually do whatever is necessary to end the crisis. The surest way is for the European Central Bank to buy the debt of fragile countries like Italy, a notion that terrifies Germans, still impressed by their grandparents’ memories of hyperinflation. If that is what the bank’s new president decides to do, Mrs Merkel may not stand in the way.
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答案 商界正在警惕着更艰难时期的到来。最大的问题是欧元危机，它对德国的贸易伙伴造成了严重破坏。9月份，来自欧元区的工业订单急剧下降了12．1％。来自亚洲和东欧的需求也将减少，而这两个地区一直是德国增长最快的市场。11月9日，由经济智囊所组成的政府顾问委员会发出预言，认为经济增速将从今年的3％降至2012年的0．9％。 不断攀升的失业率将危及默克尔女士在2013年9月连任的机会。或许正因为如此，大多数经济学家确信德国将最终竭尽所能结束这场危机。对于欧洲央行来说，最可靠的方式是购买像意大利这样经济脆弱国家的国债，这是一个令德国人恐惧的想法，因为他们依然对祖父母有关恶性通胀的回忆记忆犹新。如果这是欧洲央行新任行长决定要做的事情，默克尔女士将不会阻止。
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