首页
外语
计算机
考研
公务员
职业资格
财经
工程
司法
医学
专升本
自考
实用职业技能
登录
外语
The recovery of the US economy during the first quarter of this year has been so spectacular that it is creating a new set of ri
The recovery of the US economy during the first quarter of this year has been so spectacular that it is creating a new set of ri
admin
2010-02-19
74
问题
The recovery of the US economy during the first quarter of this year has been so spectacular that it is creating a new set of risks for financial markets. The great new risks now facing the US economy center on monetary policy and the oil market. The current federal funds interest rate of only 1.75 percent has clearly become unsustainable in view of the economy’s resilience. The Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by at least 0.25 percentage points during the second quarter and could increase short-term interest rates to at least 3 percent before the antumn-the level they were at before September 11.
Such tightening would probably cause refinancing to slump to about $300 billion at annual rates late this year, which would eliminate capital gains as a prop for consumer spending. Rising interest rates could also damp the rally likely to occur in the equity market as corporate profits recover. If investment spending fails to revive, the economy’s annual growth rate could slide back to the 2~3 percent.
The oil price is also a big risk, mainly because the Bush administration appears determined to attack Iraq. The probability of war could easily push the oil price back into the $35~$40 a barrel range for at least a few months. In effect, that would impose a big new tax on consumer spending and corporate profits. The prospect of monetary tightening and a sharp increase in the oil price suggests that late 2002 and early 2003 could be a period of great volatility for the US economy.
选项
答案
今年第一季度美国经济如此壮观的复苏,正给金融市场带成一系列新的风险。美国经济面临的这些巨大的新风险集中来自于货币政策和石油市场。从经济恢复力来看,目前只有百分之1.75的联邦利率已明显无法持续。美联储决定将在第二季度提升利率至少0.25个百分点,并会在秋季前将短期利率提升至3%以上——这也是美在9.11之前的利率水平。 这样的紧缩政策可能会导致今年年底再集资水平跌至3亿/年,这将使资本收益在消费性支出中的支柱作用荡然无存。利率的提高也将抑制企业利润好转下股票市场的回升。如果投资支出没能复原,整个经济
解析
转载请注明原文地址:https://www.kaotiyun.com/show/AjIO777K
0
考博英语
相关试题推荐
Emotionalintelligenceconcernsmainlywithself-reflectiveandThespeakerimpliesthatexecutivesfromdifferentculturalbac
WhatproblemdidBrianhavewithhissandwichbusiness?AfterGeraldinefoundpremises,itwasdifficultforherto
Whatwillthepricebeiftheybuy30?WhichpartofthefactorydoesSusanwanttochange?
Whatwillthepricebeiftheybuy30?Howmanypeoplewillattendtheconference?
Lookatthenotesbelow.Someinformationismissing.Youwillhearawomanphoningthroughanordertoheadoffice.
Ifanyproblemoccurs,contactyournearestSorrydealer.Wheneversomethinggoeswrong,______.
实验室工作的惟一任务就是使学生养成初步的实验能力。要达到这一目的,最好的办法就是让学生在解决简单的实验问题中获得一些经验。
爱情被认为是文学作品的永恒主题,中西方文化都产生了许多以爱情为主题的伟大作品。我国伟大的古典小说家曹雪芹所著的《红楼梦》和“英国文学之父”威廉:莎士比亚的《罗密欧与朱丽叶》,都是以爱情为主题的文学作品。曹雪芹于18世纪末期完成《红楼梦》,而莎士比
野生大熊猫的数目已不足1000只,大熊猫临绝迹。拯救国宝大熊猫已成为中国人民的共同心愿自20世纪90年代初以来,我们用人工授精(artificialinsemination)的方法增加大熊猫数量。但是就整个大熊猫家族的命运来说,人工授精的方法远
我将在本书中进一步阐述的理论是,文字不能代表事物,因而不能反映现实。
随机试题
"’Younevergiveitachance,’shesaid.Thensuddenlyallherpassionofgriefoverhimbrokeout.’Butitdoesmatter!’shecri
结核性肉芽肿不具有的是
对急性心肌梗死急性期患者应采取的措施包括()。
热闭、寒闭神昏,均常选用的药物为
在研究某社区食盐摄入量与高血压关系的队列研究中,食盐摄入量高的队列高血压的发病率为35.40%,食盐摄入量低的队列高血压的发病率为8.85%,该社区的人群高血压的发病率为18.80%。根据此资料计算。相对危险度为
继《针灸甲乙经》之后,对针灸学进行了第三次总结的医家是()。
我国的大运河是世界上最早开凿的运河,它沟通的水系有()。
在大型游乐公园里,现场表演是刻意用来引导人群流动的。午餐时间的表演是为了减轻公园餐馆的压力;傍晚时间的表演则有一个完全不同的目的:鼓励参观者留下来吃晚餐。表面上不同时间的表演有不同的目的,但这背后,却有一个统一的潜在目标,即:以下哪一选项作为本段短文的结束
目前世界上规模最大、用户最多的计算机网络是Internet,下面关于Internet的叙述中正确的是()。Ⅰ.Internet网由主干网、地区网和校园网(企业或部门网)三级组成Ⅱ.WWW(WorldWideWeb)是Inte
数据库设计分为以下6个设计阶段:需求分析阶段、【】、逻辑设计阶段、物理设计阶段、实施阶段、运行和维护阶段。
最新回复
(
0
)