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  3. One phase of the business cycle is the expansion phase. This phase is a two-fold one, including recovery and prosperity. During

One phase of the business cycle is the expansion phase. This phase is a two-fold one, including recovery and prosperity. During

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问题     One phase of the business cycle is the expansion phase. This phase is a two-fold one, including recovery and prosperity. During the recovery period there is ever-growing expansion of existing facilities, and new facilities for production are created. More businesses are created and older ones expanded. Improvements of various kinds are made. There is an ever increasing optimism about the future of economic growth. Much capital is invested in machinery or "heavy" industry. More labor is employed. More raw materials are required. As one part of the economy develops, other parts are affected. For example, a great expansion in automobiles results in an expansion of the steel, glass, and rubber industries. Roads are required. Thus the cement and machinery industries are stimulated. Demand for labor and materials results in greater prosperity for workers and suppliers of raw materials, including farmers. This increases purchasing power and the volume of goods bought and sold. Thus prosperity is diffused among the various segments of the population. This prosperity period may continue to rise and rise without an apparent end. However, a time comes when this phase reaches a peak and stops spiraling upwards. This is the end of the expansion phase.  
Which of the following industries will probably be a good indicator of a period of expansion?
选项 A、Toys
B、Machine tools
C、Foodstuffs
D、Cosmetics
答案B
解析 机械能够很好地预示发展期的到来。文中说，人们越来越对未来经济的增长抱乐观的态度。在机械或重工业方面投入了大量的资本。因此，机械能够预示发展期的到来。
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